Explore three local business cases. See what is published, what is assumed, and how the economics respond.
All three base scenarios pay the operating team. Their narrow profit cushions and launch spending still prevent sustained recovery within 60 modeled months.
This is a result of disclosed assumptions, not evidence that these businesses always fail. Test demand, price, rent and payroll before treating it as your plan.
How the calculations work →Two restaurant cases hold format and sales assumptions constant across cities. Coffee uses a different revenue unit and capacity constraint.
1,800 sq ft · 48 seats
Casual full service; lunch and dinner
Normalised mature EBIT: $3,089/mo
EBIT target: 104 guests/day
Five-year payback: not reached. 51 cited source pages, including cross-checks.
Test this case →1,800 sq ft · 48 seats
Casual full service; lunch and dinner
Normalised mature EBIT: $299/mo
EBIT target: 110 guests/day
Five-year payback: not reached. 60 cited source pages, including cross-checks.
Test this case →1,000 sq ft · 20 seats
Counter-service espresso and bought-in light food
Normalised mature EBIT: $567/mo
EBIT target: 166 transactions/day
Five-year payback: not reached. 38 cited source pages, including cross-checks.
Test this case →Austin: Restaurant and Coffee Shop. Evidence mixes city, metro, state and national sources; each is labeled.
Orlando: Restaurant. Sparse premises evidence keeps the case provisional.
No statewide averages or rankings are inferred from these cities. These three cases are the full research coverage of this pilot.